A Critique of the Contingent Claims Approach to Sovereign Risk Analysis
Autor: | Rahmi Erdem Aktug, Tolga Han Seyhan |
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Rok vydání: | 2011 |
Předmět: | |
Zdroj: | SSRN Electronic Journal. |
ISSN: | 1556-5068 |
DOI: | 10.2139/ssrn.1788683 |
Popis: | In this study, I examine the Contingent Claims Approach (CCA) to measure sovereign risk. Specifically, I extend the study by Gray et al. (2007), and apply the CCA framework to three emerging markets, Brazil, Mexico, and Turkey over the period 2001 to 2010. I find that CCA underestimates credit default swap spreads and default probabilities. Consequently, I point out the shortcomings of CCA, and suggest some remedies. |
Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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