Revisiting the CAPM and the Fama-French Multi-Factor Models: Modeling Volatility Dynamics in Financial Markets

Autor:	Michaelides, Michael
Rok vydání:	2017
Předmět:	CAPM Fama-French three-factor model Fama-French five-factor model factor selection t-heterogeneity Gram-Schmidt orthonormal polynomials statistical adequacy misspecification testing Student's t volatility modeling
Druh dokumentu:	Dissertation
Popis:	The primary objective of this dissertation is to revisit the CAPM and the Fama-French multi-factor models with a view to evaluate the validity of the probabilistic assumptions imposed (directly or indirectly) on the particular data used. By thoroughly testing the assumptions underlying these models, several departures are found and the original linear regression models are respecified. The respecification results in a family of heterogeneous Student's t models which are shown to account for all the statistical regularities in the data. This family of models provides an appropriate basis for revisiting the empirical adequacy of the CAPM and the Fama-French multi-factor models, as well as other models, such as alternative asset pricing models and risk evaluation models. Along the lines of providing a sound basis for reliable inference, the respecified models can serve as a coherent basis for selecting the relevant factors from the set of possible ones. The latter contributes to the enhancement of the substantive adequacy of the CAPM and the multi-factor models. Ph. D. The primary objective of this dissertation is to revisit the CAPM and the FamaFrench multi-factor models with a view to evaluate the validity of the probabilistic assumptions imposed (directly or indirectly) on the particular data used. By probing for potential departures from the Normality, Linearity, Homoskedasticity, Independence, and t-invariance assumptions, it is shown that the assumptions implicitly imposed on these empirical asset pricing models are inappropriate. In light of these results, the probabilistic assumptions underlying the CAPM and the Fama-French multi-factor models are replaced with the Studentís t, Linearity, Heteroskedasticity, Markov Dependence, and t-heterogeneity assumptions. The new probabilistic structure results in a family of heterogeneous Studentís t models which are shown to account for all the statistical regularities in the data. This family of models provides an appropriate basis for revisiting the empirical adequacy of the CAPM and the Fama-French multifactor models, as well as other models, such as alternative asset pricing models and risk evaluation models. Along the lines of providing a sound basis for reliable statistical inference results, the proposed models can serve as a coherent basis for selecting the potential sources of risk from a set of possible ones. The latter contributes to the enhancement of the substantive adequacy of the CAPM and the multi-factor models.
Databáze:	Networked Digital Library of Theses & Dissertations
Externí odkaz:	http://hdl.handle.net/10919/77515 Zobrazit plný text záznamu