Using Time Series Method to Examine Taiwanese Farm Egg Price Model and the Forecast Comparison Analysis
| Autor: | Wan-Ting Tang, 唐婉庭 |
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| Rok vydání: | 2019 |
| Druh dokumentu: | 學位論文 ; thesis |
| Popis: | 107 Eggs play an important role in our food culture. In recent years, egg prices have repeatedly hit the new records and fluctuated, and it has caused many manufacturers and consumers to suffer from an unstable egg price. Therefore, this study adopts the cycle of the egg production and external environmental factors to examine the egg price data. The data were collected from January 2005 to December 2017 as the foundation of forecasting egg farm price in 2018. The time series approach with ARMA model is adopted to examine the pure-price model and the extended egg price model. The results show that the extended egg price model is more stable with higher accuracy in forecasting egg prices in 2018. If government is hoping to stabilize the farm egg price, then the outcomes of this study can be a good reference in tracking and monitoring the relevant factors. |
| Databáze: | Networked Digital Library of Theses & Dissertations |
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