System Dynamics Simulation Model for Earthquake Rebuilding of the Landscape Patterns in Ji-Ji County

Autor: Yueh-Ting Wu, 吳岳庭
Rok vydání: 2013
Druh dokumentu: 學位論文 ; thesis
Popis: 101
Ji-Ji County suffered the 921 earthquake, which caused great causalities and damage in 1999. The earthquake disaster resulted in great impact on land use, landscape patterns, and ecological environment of Ji-Ji County. In the earthquake rebuilding process, the destruction of the structures, infrastructure, land re-planning configuration and other major projects are to be implemented. During the rebuilding process, the county is faced with issues such as appropriate urban design, and conservation and recovery of the natural environment. In view of this, this study aimed to discuss the impact of earthquake rebuilding on changes in landscape patterns, and understand the possible changes of the ecosystem of the disaster area brought by the earthquake rebuilding process. This study determined the major impact indicators and constructed the system dynamics model for earthquake rebuilding of landscape patterns of Ji-Ji County. By simulating the development programs for earthquake rebuilding of landscape patterns of Ji-Ji County, the planning strategies were proposed for earthquake rebuilding of landscape patterns of Ji-Ji County. The trends of changes in urban rebuilding were predicted. With landscape patterns of landscape ecology as the basic theory, this study used systems thinking and fuzzy delphi expert questionnaire to establish the impact factor system of earthquake rebuilding landscape patterns of Ji-Ji County. The system dynamics simulation model was used to discuss the causal feedback relationship of the system, establish the system dynamics equation of earthquake rebuilding of landscape patterns of Ji-Ji County, and simulate the future development of Ji-Ji County. The empirical findings were that in environmental protection, regarding changes in the area of types of land, to maintain the status of the development is the most preferred choice. Moreover, appropriate industrial activities will be effective to improve quality of life and changes in landscape patterns. The maintenance of high economic growth and environmental protection must be balanced, considered carefully and controlled. With landscape patterns optimization as the goal, moderate industrial development is the best choice. The fluctuation between the land area for the primary and tertiary industries needs to be considered through rigorous urban planning. Different lot sizes and combinations of land types will contribute to the harmonious development of landscape patterns. With high economic return as the goal, a high degree of industry growth is the best choice. Thriving industrial activities not only bring the economic environment of high returns. Its negative value of environmental protection must be regulated, and economic activities of high revenue and low pollution are expected. The research contents are viable and practical. Earthquake rebuilding of landscape patterns requires the integration of multiple dimensions. The tourism-based industrial development must consider the environmental pollution and the impact of economic activities on changes in landscape patterns. A balance should be reached between population loss and the influx of tourists to maintain a good quality of the environment.
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