直接投資與本國銀行存放款利率差對台灣經濟成長之影響
| Autor: | Liu Chien Chang, 劉鑑章 |
|---|---|
| Rok vydání: | 2006 |
| Druh dokumentu: | 學位論文 ; thesis |
| Popis: | 94 The purpose of this paper is to make use of prediction variable to conduct research of criteria variable on the extent of impact on Taiwan’s economy through Taiwan outward foreign directly investment, Taiwan inward foreign directly investment, and the difference of interest rate (interest rate of loan minus the interest rate of deposit) of deposit and loan of domestic Taiwan as well as correlation analysis, correlation significant test, and granger causality test. And it is indicated from the research results that Taiwan outward foreign directly investment demonstrates highly negative relevancy in relation to Taiwan’s economic growth, and there exists two-way causality relationship; therefore, the use of Taiwan outward foreign directly investment would be a better choice to predict Taiwan’s economic growth. However, the relevancy of Taiwan inward foreign directly investment demonstrates medium relationship to Taiwan’ s economic growth, and it displays no causality between the two, therefore, Taiwan inward foreign directly investment can only be used to predict Taiwan’s economic growth in mere short-span of scenario. The difference of interest rate between deposit and loan of domestic bank (interest rate of loan minus the interest rate of deposit) demonstrates highly negative relevancy in relation to Taiwan’s economic growth, and there exists two-way causality relationship, therefore, the difference of interest rate between deposit and loan (interest rate of loan minus the interest rate of deposit) is a more favorable variable to predict Taiwan’s economic growth. Since there is some difference in findings and literatures with regard to Taiwan outward foreign directly investment in this paper, however, it has employed interest rate to predict Taiwan’s economic growth and significant results are concluded which matches with what literatures mention that difference of interest rate is a favorable prediction variable. The data of this research is of the quarterly materials found in between the first quarter of 1991 to the fourth quarter of 2004. |
| Databáze: | Networked Digital Library of Theses & Dissertations |
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