A Study of the Impact of Tariff Reduction in Doha Development Round on the Fisheries Sector in Taiwan: An Application of the Fisheries Sector Equilibrium Model

Autor: Miao-Fang Wu, 吳苗芳
Rok vydání: 2005
Druh dokumentu: 學位論文 ; thesis
Popis: 93
World Trade Organization (WTO) had begun a new round multilateral trade negotiation since the fourth Ministerial Meeting in Capital Doha of Qatar on November 9, 2001. The content of the Doha negotiations is extensive and it’s equirement regarding the single undertaking condition is difficult to be accepted by all members. Since the fifth Cancun Ministerial Meeting failed to reach consensus, every topic was procrastinated for a long time. Since the Doha Work Programme (July Package) was adapted in August 2004, the new round multilateral negotiation is able to launch again. According to July Package, seafood product is classified as non-agriculture market access (NAMA) negotiations aim to reduce the peak of the tariffs by a non-linear Swiss formula or Girard formula. Following the strategy of “industry first” in NAMA negotiations, Taiwan may choose to vote for Swiss formula which will help to improve the export of domestic industry by eliminate the import tariffs. However, the import tariffs of seafood products will decline dramatically and the domestic fishery sector may suffer a lot. Based on there are eight years negotiation process for WTO Uruguay Round form 1986 to 1994, the new round negotiation is probably will be implemented in 2010 and a final tariff reduction schedule may be ended in 2014. If the parameter is set to 8 under the Swiss formul, such as proposed by US during the negotiation, the highest seafood tariff, which is about 50%, will dropped to 6.9%. By taking into account both the growth of population and income in 2010 and 2014, this study utilizes the most current dataset in 2004 to update the fisheries sector partial equilibrium model, which was established by Sun, Chang, and Chiang (1999), to evaluate the impact of tariff reduction under various parameters setting of Swiss formula with two different scenario in 2010 and 2014. The study finds that the total production of fishery sector in 2014 baseline will increase by 3.73% than what’s in the base year of 2004. If the export quantity will not be influenced and the parameter in Swiss formula is set to 8, the import quantity in 2014 will increase by 29.30% than the baseline in 2014, the total production and the add-value of fishery sector will be reduced by 1.12% (which is about 17,121 MT) and 6.35% (which is about NT$4,258 million), respectively. The total production of coastal/offshore and aquaculture fishery will decrease by 3.37% (which is about 8,424 MT) and 2.34% (which is about 8,703 MT), respectively. Within the forty fishery products, crab, white shrimp, giant shrimp, grass shrimp, and other fish will bear the biggest loss in output and will be replaced easily by import products.
Databáze: Networked Digital Library of Theses & Dissertations
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