Confidence Calibration in a Multiyear Geopolitical Forecasting Competition

Autor: Moore, Don A., Swift, Samuel A., Minster, Angela, Mellers, Barbara, Ungar, Lyle, Tetlock, Philip, Yang, Heather H. J., Tenney, Elizabeth R.
Zdroj: Management Science, 2017 Nov 01. 63(11), 3552-3565.
Databáze: JSTOR Journals