Loans for the president: external debt and power consolidation in Egypt

Autor: Roll, Stephan
Přispěvatelé: Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik -SWP- Deutsches Institut für Internationale Politik und Sicherheit
Rok vydání: 2022
Předmět:
Politikwissenschaft
Wirtschaft
Political science
Economics
Externe Verschuldung
Steigerung/Ausbau
Relation
Herrschaftssicherung
Staatsoberhaupt
Sīsī
ʿAbd-al-Fattāḥ as-

Konsolidierung
Implikation
Offizieller internationaler Kredit
Politische Konditionalität
Technokraten
Wirtschaftsreformen
Streitkräfte/militärische Verbände
Wirtschaftlicher Akteur
Militärökonomik
Infrastrukturpolitik
Beschaffung von Rüstungsgütern im Ausland
Internationaler Währungsfonds
politische Willensbildung
politische Soziologie
politische Kultur

Wirtschaftspolitik
Political Process
Elections
Political Sociology
Political Culture

Economic Policy
Ägypten
Staatsverschuldung
Machtsicherung
autoritäres System
Machtpolitik
Finanzpolitik
sozioökonomische Entwicklung
Repression
Wirtschaftsbeziehungen
bilaterale Beziehungen
Kreditvergabe
Bundesrepublik Deutschland
Egypt
national debt
securing of power
authoritarian system
power politics
fiscal policy
socioeconomic development
repression
economic relations
bilateral relations
lending
Federal Republic of Germany
10500
Zdroj: 12/2022, SWP Research Paper, 33
Druh dokumentu: Arbeitspapier<br />working paper
ISSN: 1863-1053
DOI: 10.18449/2022RP12
Popis: Egyptian President Abdel Fatah al-Sisi has consolidated his authoritarian regime in recent years. This has been accompanied by a significant increase in Cairo's foreign debt, which more than tripled between June 2013 and March 2022. The country's debt policy was directly linked to the presidential centre of power. The government managed a well-choreographed mix of incentives, threats, and concealment that made it possible to take out more and more new loans. The Egyptian military, on whose support President Sisi is dependent in order to assert his claim to power, is the main beneficiary of the debt policy. External debt helped to protect the revenues and assets of the armed forces, to finance major projects in which they could earn significant money, and to pursue an expansive military build-up. The instrumentalisation of debt policy for power politics increases the risk that Egypt will no longer be able to service its liabilities in the future. Above all, however, the misallocation of scarce financial resources under­mines the socio-economic development of the country and promotes police-state repression. The latter, in turn, favours the political instrumentalisation of debt policy for power politics, as it prevents any control of govern­ment action. In the future, Germany and its European partners should therefore tie bi­lateral lending as well as support for Egypt in its negotiations with international financial institutions to two conditions: firstly, the dismantling of military economic activities - whereby the assets of the armed forces must also be disclosed - and secondly, concrete steps towards ending police-state repression. (author's abstract)
Databáze: SSOAR – Social Science Open Access Repository