Ten Things to Watch in Africa in 2023
| Autor: | Basedau, Matthias, Grauvogel, Julia |
|---|---|
| Přispěvatelé: | German Institute for Global and Area Studies (GIGA) - Leibniz-Institut für Globale und Regionale Studien, Institut für Afrika-Studien |
| Rok vydání: | 2023 |
| Předmět: |
Internationale Beziehungen
Politikwissenschaft International relations Political science Wahlbeobachtung Innenpolitischer Konflikt Politischer Islam Tigray Russisch-Ukrainischer Krieg Wirtschaftliche Interessen Afrikapolitik Pandemie COVID-19 Ehrung Auszeichnung Grammy Award internationale Beziehungen Entwicklungspolitik Friedens- und Konfliktforschung Sicherheitspolitik International Relations International Politics Foreign Affairs Development Policy Peace and Conflict Research International Conflicts Security Policy Afrika südlich der Sahara Politik politische Entwicklung Innenpolitik politische Situation Demokratie innere Sicherheit internationale Beziehungen internationaler Konflikt sozioökonomische Entwicklung Wirtschaftsentwicklung Wahl Abstimmung Kongo Nigeria Simbabwe Zentralafrikanische Republik Elfenbeinküste Ghana Guinea Benin Guinea-Bissau Togo Islam ethnischer Konflikt Sahel-Zone Westafrika Äthiopien Krieg Russland Ukraine China Nahost Deutschland politisches Interesse Epidemie Armut soziale Ungleichheit Wirtschaftswachstum Klimawandel Popkultur Fußball Sport Marokko Musik Wettbewerb Africa South of the Sahara politics political development domestic policy political situation democracy domestic security international relations international conflict socioeconomic development economic development (on national level) election voting Congo Republic of the Zimbabwe Central African Republic Ivory Coast ethnic conflict Sahel Region West Africa Ethiopia war Russia Middle East Germany political interest epidemic poverty social inequality economic growth climate change pop culture soccer sports Morocco music competition 10500 |
| Zdroj: | 1, GIGA Focus Afrika, 11 |
| Druh dokumentu: | Arbeitspapier<br />working paper |
| ISSN: | 1862-3603 |
| DOI: | 10.57671/gfaf-23012 |
| Popis: | Russia's war against Ukraine has accelerated international competition for influence in Africa. Structural weaknesses and post-pandemic instabilities continue to threaten achievements in the fields of democratic governance, peace and security, as well as development. We present a select list and analysis of "ten things to watch" in Africa in 2023. Politics: Democratic quality will depend on the nature of polls, as the electoral calendar is heavily packed. Important general elections that could trigger social unrest are scheduled in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Nigeria, and Zimbabwe. Peace and security: Against the backdrop of continued structural-conflict risks, Jihadism and related ethno-regional tensions pose a major security challenge that may spill over to neighbouring states, especially from the Sahel to West African coastal countries. The recent ceasefire in Ethiopia's Tigray Region could be a first positive step towards peace. International arena: Amid Russia's war against Ukraine, many African governments were reluctant to join the international coalition condemning the Putin regime. Continued Western pressure on African countries to isolate Russia fosters African agency. At the same time, we expect to see an intensifying "new scramble for Africa" that includes both China and Middle Eastern countries. Socio-economic development: African countries will slowly rebound from the COVID-19 pandemic's socio-economic effects, but high poverty, inequality, and government debt hamper economic growth. Progress on joint efforts to counter the climate crisis remains slow. Western support for African countries in their struggle for democracy, peace and security, as well as development requires a "new start" that focuses on prevention rather than ad hoc responses to current crises. The European Union and United States should avoid lapsing into Cold War habits of only assisting African governments if they "break away" from Russia. Germany needs to formulate a sound Africa policy that balances values and national interests with realistic assessments of the policy's potential in light of bigger players like China. |
| Databáze: | SSOAR – Social Science Open Access Repository |
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