From New to Normal: Two Years after the Abraham Accords

Autor: Dachtler, Petra
Přispěvatelé: German Institute for Global and Area Studies (GIGA) - Leibniz-Institut für Globale und Regionale Studien, Institut für Nahost-Studien
Rok vydání: 2022
Předmět:
Politikwissenschaft
Internationale Beziehungen
Political science
International relations
Friedens- und Konfliktforschung
Sicherheitspolitik
internationale Beziehungen
Entwicklungspolitik
Peace and Conflict Research
International Conflicts
Security Policy
International Relations
International Politics
Foreign Affairs
Development Policy
Israel
Nahost
Nordafrika
arabische Länder
Sicherheitspolitik
internationale Beziehungen
politische Beziehungen
Diplomatie
Außenpolitik
internationales Abkommen
internationale Sicherheit
Entwicklung
Perspektive
Prozess
Vereinigte Arabische Emirate
Bahrain
Marokko
Westsahara
Sudan
Nahost-Konflikt
Middle East
North Africa
Arab countries
security policy
international relations
political relations
diplomacy
foreign policy
international agreement
international security
development
perspective
process
United Arab Emirates
Morocco
Western Sahara
Middle East conflict
10500
Zdroj: 5, GIGA Focus Nahost, 12
Druh dokumentu: Arbeitspapier<br />working paper
ISSN: 1862-3611
DOI: 10.57671/gfme-22052
Popis: When Israel signed the Abraham Accords in 2020 reactions were diverse. Experts were divided - some fearing a deepening of regional divisions, others hoping for a positive impact on the Middle East Peace Process (MEPP). Two years later normalisation has intensified, but differs in degree and scope. Israel's normalisation process has strengthened her acceptance in the region and reaches beyond security issues. While Bahrain and the United Arab Emirates lead these dynamics, eager to benefit from exchange in science and technology, in Morocco the United States' recognition of the latter's sovereignty over the Western Sahara has hardened Rabat's position on that issue. With Sudan, the process has not developed beyond contact between the Israeli government and the internationally contested military leadership. Normalisation is not a decisive factor for Israeli-Palestinian conflict resolution. On the contrary, it was not an incentive in the past for Israel to make concessions; clashes with the Palestinians in Gaza or recently on the Temple Mount could not derail the process either. The real test, however, would be another Palestinian intifada or a return to the annexation plans of early 2020. Iran remains an important uniting factor which has led to a shared threat perception. Nevertheless, the Gulf monarchies and Israel differ in approach towards Iran. While Arab-Israeli joint military exercises mark a historical shift, talks about a military alliance in the Middle East with Israeli (and US) involvement are premature. The European Union and its member states should build on these positive dynamics and look at developments in the region not merely through the lens of the MEPP. Trilateral projects with Israel and Arab partners are a good starting point here. Also, Europe should become more involved in the broader Middle East through strategic dialogue with partners in the region as well as the US on the new order in the making.
Databáze: SSOAR – Social Science Open Access Repository
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