What do forecasting rationales reveal about thinking patterns of top geopolitical forecasters?

Autor: Karvetski, Christopher W., Meinel, Carolyn, Maxwell, Daniel T., Lu, Yunzi, Mellers, Barbara A., Tetlock, Philip E.
Zdroj: In International Journal of Forecasting April-June 2022 38(2):688-704
Databáze: ScienceDirect