Predicting ordinary and severe recessions with a three-state Markov-switching dynamic factor model: An application to the German business cycle

Autor: Carstensen, Kai, Heinrich, Markus, Reif, Magnus, Wolters, Maik H.
Zdroj: In International Journal of Forecasting July-September 2020 36(3):829-850
Databáze: ScienceDirect