EuroSCORE e mortalidade em cirurgia de revascularização miocárdica no Pronto Socorro Cardiológico de Pernambuco EuroSCORE and mortality in coronary artery bypass graft surgery at Pernambuco Cardiologic Emergency Medical Services [Pronto Socorro Cardiológico de Pernambuco]
| Autor: | Michel Pompeu Barros de Oliveira Sá, Evelyn Figueira Soares, Cecília Andrade Santos, Omar Jacobina Figueredo, Renato Oliveira Albuquerque Lima, Rodrigo Renda Escobar, Frederico Pires Vasconcelos Silva, Ricardo de Carvalho Lima |
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| Jazyk: | angličtina |
| Rok vydání: | 2010 |
| Předmět: | |
| Zdroj: | Brazilian Journal of Cardiovascular Surgery, Vol 25, Iss 4, Pp 474-482 (2010) |
| Druh dokumentu: | article |
| ISSN: | 0102-7638 1678-9741 |
| DOI: | 10.1590/S0102-76382010000400010 |
| Popis: | OBJETIVOS: O objetivo desse estudo foi avaliar a aplicabilidade do EuroSCORE em pacientes submetidos à cirurgia de revascularização miocárdica na Divisão de Cirurgia Cardiovascular do Pronto Socorro Cardiológico de Pernambuco - PROCAPE. MÉTODOS: Estudo retrospectivo envolvendo 500 pacientes operados entre maio de 2007 a abril de 2010. Os registros continham todas as informações utilizadas para calcular o EuroSCORE. O desfecho de interesse foi óbito. Análises univariada e multivariada por regressão logística backward foram aplicadas para verificar associação entre cada variável do EuroSCORE e ocorrência de óbito. Foram calculadas medidas de sensibilidade, especificidade, valor preditivo positivo e valor preditivo negativo. O poder de concordância do EuroSCORE entre mortalidade prevista e observada foi mensurado por meio do índice Kappa. A acurácia do modelo foi avaliada por meio da curva ROC (receiver operating characteristic). RESULTADOS: A ocorrência de morte foi de 13% (n=65). Na análise multivariada, nove fatores permaneceram como preditores independentes de morte: doença pulmonar obstrutiva crônica, creatinina >2,3mg/dL, endocardite ativa, estado crítico no pré-operatório, angina instável, fração de ejeção de 30%-50%, infarto agudo do miocárdio OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study is to evaluate the applicability of EuroSCORE in patients undergoing coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgery at the Division of Cardiovascular Surgery of Pernambuco Cardiologic Emergency Medical Services - PROCAPE. METHODS: A retrospective study involving 500 patients operated between May 2007 and April 2010. The registers contained all the information used to calculate the EuroSCORE. The outcome of interest was death. Univariate analysis and multivariate analysis by backward logistic regression were applied to assess the association between each variable in the EuroSCORE and deaths. The following parameters were calculated: sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value. The power of concordance between the predicted mortality by the EuroSCORE and the observed mortality was measured using the Kappa coefficient. The accuracy of the model was evaluated by the ROC (receiver operating characteristic) curve. RESULTS: The incidence of death was 13%. In multivariate analysis, nine variables remained independent predictors of death: chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, creatinine >2,3mg/dL, active endocarditis, preoperative critical state, unstable angina, ejection fraction 30% to 50%, acute myocardial infarction < 90 days, emergency surgery and additional surgery. The score had a sensitivity of 88.4%, specificity of 79.3%, positive predictive value of 40.7%, negative predictive value of 97.7% and 80.6% concordance. The accuracy measured by the area under the ROC curve was 0.892 (95% CI 0.862-0.922). CONCLUSIONS: The EuroSCORE proved to be a simple and objective index, revealing a satisfactory discriminator of postoperative evolution in patients undergoing CABG surgery at our institution. |
| Databáze: | Directory of Open Access Journals |
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