Strategies to minimize heterogeneity and optimize clinical trials in Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome (ARDS): Insights from mathematical modelling

Autor: Sonu Subudhi, Chrysovalantis Voutouri, C. Corey Hardin, Mohammad Reza Nikmaneshi, Ankit B. Patel, Ashish Verma, Melin J. Khandekar, Sayon Dutta, Triantafyllos Stylianopoulos, Rakesh K. Jain, Lance L. Munn
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2022
Předmět:
Zdroj: EBioMedicine, Vol 75, Iss , Pp 103809- (2022)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 2352-3964
DOI: 10.1016/j.ebiom.2021.103809
Popis: Summary: Background: Mathematical modelling may aid in understanding the complex interactions between injury and immune response in critical illness. Methods: We utilize a system biology model of COVID-19 to analyze the effect of altering baseline patient characteristics on the outcome of immunomodulatory therapies. We create example parameter sets meant to mimic diverse patient types. For each patient type, we define the optimal treatment, identify biologic programs responsible for clinical responses, and predict biomarkers of those programs. Findings: Model states representing older and hyperinflamed patients respond better to immunomodulation than those representing obese and diabetic patients. The disparate clinical responses are driven by distinct biologic programs. Optimal treatment initiation time is determined by neutrophil recruitment, systemic cytokine expression, systemic microthrombosis and the renin-angiotensin system (RAS) in older patients, and by RAS, systemic microthrombosis and trans IL6 signalling for hyperinflamed patients. For older and hyperinflamed patients, IL6 modulating therapy is predicted to be optimal when initiated very early (
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