The global mean sea level rise predicted by its causative budget components during 2018 – 2050

Autor:	H. Bâki Iz
Jazyk:	angličtina
Rok vydání:	2022
Předmět:	Climate change global mean sea level budget luni-solar forcing prediction of global mean sea level rise Geology QE1-996.5 Physical geography GB3-5030
Zdroj:	All Earth, Vol 34, Iss 1, Pp 215-223 (2022)
Druh dokumentu:	article
ISSN:	27669645 2766-9645
DOI:	10.1080/27669645.2022.2109299
Popis:	This study establishes a predictive empirical model, the first of its kind, which is innately a cause-and-effect representation of the observed global mean sea level over time. The model uses the trends of its observed budget components, including the temporal variations in mass of glaciers, Greenland, Antarctic ice sheets, terrestrial water storage, steric effect, and astronomical forcings of luni-solar origin, as independent variables in representing global mean sea level anomalies, namely, the dependent variable. The model parameters are estimated using monthly globally averaged satellite altimetry measurements and the yearly rates of the budget components during 1993–2018 as a priori information. Prospective monthly global mean sea level anomalies are then quantified and tabulated together with their root mean square error of prediction at 5% significance level for the period 2018–2050.
Databáze:	Directory of Open Access Journals
Externí odkaz:	https://doaj.org/article/f94a7a6f19ca4672b95df24111f27764 Zobrazit plný text záznamu View record in DOAJ Plný text ve formátu PDF Plný text ve formátu HTML
Nepřihlášeným uživatelům se plný text nezobrazuje	K zobrazení výsledku je třeba se přihlásit.