The effect of deforestation and climate change on all-cause mortality and unsafe work conditions due to heat exposure in Berau, Indonesia: a modelling study

Autor: Nicholas H Wolff, PhD, Lucas R Vargas Zeppetello, MS, Luke A Parsons, PhD, Ike Aggraeni, PhD, David S Battisti, ProfPhD, Kristie L Ebi, ProfPhD, Edward T Game, PhD, Timm Kroeger, PhD, Yuta J Masuda, PhD, June T Spector, MD
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2021
Předmět:
Zdroj: The Lancet Planetary Health, Vol 5, Iss 12, Pp e882-e892 (2021)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 2542-5196
DOI: 10.1016/S2542-5196(21)00279-5
Popis: Summary: Background: Previous studies focusing on urban, industrialised regions have found that excess heat exposure can increase all-cause mortality, heat-related illnesses, and occupational injuries. However, little research has examined how deforestation and climate change can adversely affect work conditions and population health in low latitude, industrialising countries. Methods: For this modelling study we used data at 1 km2 resolution to compare forest cover and temperature conditions in the Berau regency, Indonesia, between 2002 and 2018. We used spatially explicit satellite, climate model, and population data to estimate the effects of global warming, between 2002 and 2018 and after applying 1·0°C, 1·5°C, and 2·0°C of global warming to 2018 temperatures, on all-cause mortality and unsafe work conditions in the Berau regency, Indonesia. Findings: Between 2002 and 2018, 4375 km2 of forested land in Berau was cleared, corresponding to approximately 17% of the entire regency. Deforestation increased mean daily maximum temperatures by 0·95°C (95% CI 0·97–0·92; p
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