Constructing Equity Investment Strategies Using Analyst Reports and Regime Switching Models

Autor: Rei Taguchi, Hikaru Watanabe, Hiroki Sakaji, Kiyoshi Izumi, Kenji Hiramatsu
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2022
Předmět:
Zdroj: Frontiers in Artificial Intelligence, Vol 5 (2022)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 2624-8212
DOI: 10.3389/frai.2022.865950
Popis: This study demonstrates whether analysts' sentiments toward individual stocks are useful for stock investment strategies. This is achieved by using natural language processing to create a polarity index from textual information in analyst reports. In this study, we performed time series forecasting for the created polarity index using deep learning, and clustered the forecasted values by volatility using a regime switching model. In addition, we constructed a portfolio from stock data and rebalanced it at each change point of the regime. Consequently, the investment strategy proposed in this study outperforms the benchmark portfolio in terms of returns. This suggests that the polarity index is useful for constructing stock investment strategies.
Databáze: Directory of Open Access Journals