Tropical forcing of increased Southern Ocean climate variability revealed by a 140-year subantarctic temperature reconstruction

Autor: C. S. M. Turney, C. J. Fogwill, J. G. Palmer, E. van Sebille, Z. Thomas, M. McGlone, S. Richardson, J. M. Wilmshurst, P. Fenwick, V. Zunz, H. Goosse, K.-J. Wilson, L. Carter, M. Lipson, R. T. Jones, M. Harsch, G. Clark, E. Marzinelli, T. Rogers, E. Rainsley, L. Ciasto, S. Waterman, E. R. Thomas, M. Visbeck
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2017
Předmět:
Zdroj: Climate of the Past, Vol 13, Iss 3, Pp 231-248 (2017)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 1814-9324
1814-9332
DOI: 10.5194/cp-13-231-2017
Popis: Occupying about 14 % of the world's surface, the Southern Ocean plays a fundamental role in ocean and atmosphere circulation, carbon cycling and Antarctic ice-sheet dynamics. Unfortunately, high interannual variability and a dearth of instrumental observations before the 1950s limits our understanding of how marine–atmosphere–ice domains interact on multi-decadal timescales and the impact of anthropogenic forcing. Here we integrate climate-sensitive tree growth with ocean and atmospheric observations on southwest Pacific subantarctic islands that lie at the boundary of polar and subtropical climates (52–54° S). Our annually resolved temperature reconstruction captures regional change since the 1870s and demonstrates a significant increase in variability from the 1940s, a phenomenon predating the observational record. Climate reanalysis and modelling show a parallel change in tropical Pacific sea surface temperatures that generate an atmospheric Rossby wave train which propagates across a large part of the Southern Hemisphere during the austral spring and summer. Our results suggest that modern observed high interannual variability was established across the mid-twentieth century, and that the influence of contemporary equatorial Pacific temperatures may now be a permanent feature across the mid- to high latitudes.
Databáze: Directory of Open Access Journals
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