A multi-scenario multi-model analysis of regional climate projections in a Central–Eastern European agricultural region: assessing shallow groundwater table responses using an aggregated vertical hydrological model

Autor: László Koncsos, Gábor Murányi
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2024
Předmět:
Zdroj: Applied Water Science, Vol 14, Iss 3, Pp 1-20 (2024)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 2190-5487
2190-5495
DOI: 10.1007/s13201-023-02097-9
Popis: Abstract The 2022 drought highlighted Hungary's vulnerability to climate change, especially the Great Hungarian Plain. Soil moisture, which is crucial for agriculture, depends on the position of the shallow groundwater table. This study investigated the effects of climate change on groundwater table fluctuations in more than 500 wells on the plain. An integrated vertical hydrological model, assuming negligible horizontal subsurface flows, employed the Dunay–Varga-Haszonits methodology for evaporation and Kovács approach for the water retention curve. Verified with two meteorological databases, the model was accepted for 463 wells based on NSE > 0.4 and RMSE
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