Development of a predictive nomogram for acute respiratory distress syndrome in patients with acute pancreatitis complicated with acute kidney injury

Autor: Dongliang Yang, Jian Kang, Yuanhao Li, Chao Wen, Suosuo Yang, Yanbo Ren, Hui Wang, Yuling Li
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2023
Předmět:
Zdroj: Renal Failure, Vol 45, Iss 2 (2023)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 0886022X
1525-6049
0886-022X
DOI: 10.1080/0886022X.2023.2251591
Popis: Background Acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) is a common complication in patients with acute pancreatitis (AP), especially when patients complicated with acute kidney injury (AKI), resulting in increased duration of hospitalization and mortality. It is of potential clinical significance to develop a predictive model to identify the the high-risk patients.Method AP patients complicated with AKI from January 2019 to March 2022 were enrolled in this study and randomly divided into training cohort and validation cohort at a ratio of 2:1. The Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator(LASSO) regression and machine learning algorithms were applied to select features. A nomogram was developed based on the multivariate logistic regression. The performance of the nomogram was evaluated by AUC, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis.Results A total of 292 patients were enrolled in the study, with 206 in the training cohort and 86 in the validation cohort. Multivariate logistic analysis showed that IAP (Odds Ratio (OR)=4.60, 95%CI:1.23-18.24, p = 0.02), shock (OR = 12.99, 95%CI:3.47-64.04, p
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