Stochastic Models for the Infectivity Function in an Infinite Population of Susceptible Individuals
Autor: | Viswanathan Arunachalam, Liliana Blanco |
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Jazyk: | angličtina |
Rok vydání: | 2017 |
Předmět: | |
Zdroj: | Journal of Probability and Statistics, Vol 2017 (2017) |
Druh dokumentu: | article |
ISSN: | 1687-952X 1687-9538 |
DOI: | 10.1155/2017/9064821 |
Popis: | Two stochastic models to study the course of the transient behaviour of the total infectivity present in an infinite population of susceptible individuals are developed. The conditional intensity function of the contagion comprises two components: one is due to the external sources only and the other is the contribution of each of the infected persons which is nonstationary in nature. The statistical characteristics of the number of infected individuals at any time are explicitly obtained. Estimation of the model parameters is also indicated. |
Databáze: | Directory of Open Access Journals |
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