Establishment and validation of novel MRI radiomic feature-based prognostic models to predict progression-free survival in locally advanced rectal cancer

Autor: Fei Xie, Qin Zhao, Shuqi Li, Shuangshuang Wu, Jinli Li, Haojiang Li, Shenghuan Chen, Wu Jiang, Annan Dong, Liqing Wu, Long Liu, Huabin Huang, Shuoyu Xu, Yuanzhi Shao, Lizhi Liu, Li Li, Peiqiang Cai
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2022
Předmět:
Zdroj: Frontiers in Oncology, Vol 12 (2022)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 2234-943X
DOI: 10.3389/fonc.2022.901287
Popis: In locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC), an improved ability to predict prognosis before and after treatment is needed for individualized treatment. We aimed to utilize pre- and post-treatment clinical predictors and baseline magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) radiomic features for establishing prognostic models to predict progression-free survival (PFS) in patients with LARC. Patients with LARC diagnosed between March 2014 and May 2016 were included in this retrospective study. A radiomic signature based on extracted MRI features and clinical prognostic models based on clinical features were constructed in the training cohort to predict 3-year PFS. C-indices were used to evaluate the predictive accuracies of the radiomic signature, clinical prognostic models, and integrated prognostic model (iPostM). In total, 166 consecutive patients were included (110 vs. 56 for training vs. validation). Eleven radiomic features were filtered out to construct the radiomic signature, which was significantly related to PFS. The MRI feature-derived radiomic signature exhibited better prognostic performance than the clinical prognostic models (P = 0.007 vs. 0.077). Then, we proposed an iPostM that combined the radiomic signature with tumor regression grade. The iPostM achieved the highest C-indices in the training and validation cohorts (0.942 and 0.752, respectively), outperforming other models in predicting PFS (all P < 0.05). Decision curve analysis and survival curves of the validation cohort verified that iPostM demonstrated the best performance and facilitated risk stratification. Therefore, iPostM provided the most reliable prognostic prediction for PFS in patients with LARC.
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