Forkome Model Application for Prognosis of Forest Fires

Autor: Kozak Ihor, Węgiel Andrzej, Strzeliński Paweł, Frąk Rafał, Stępień Adam, Kociuba Piotr, Kozak Hanna
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2014
Předmět:
Zdroj: Ekológia (Bratislava), Vol 33, Iss 4, Pp 391-400 (2014)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 1337-947X
DOI: 10.2478/eko-2014-0035
Popis: This paper presents the perspectives of FORKOME model use regarding the simulation of fre and its impact on forest stands. The calculation of probability of forest fres and predicting its effect on forest stands are analysed as well. The model is supposed to examine the impact of fres on pine stands, which ultimately leads to a decline in the viability of those trees. As a result of fre activity there were determined the following categories of trees - undamaged, slightly damaged, heavily damaged and destroyed. Moreover, by conducting simulations on forests with Scots pine (Pinus sylvestris L.), there were demonstrated the possibilities of FORKOME model practical application. Simulation shows the possibility of the model to predict the fre damage in a particular year and the perspective of a stand development, taking into account climate change and its influence on the frequency of fres. Prospects and directions of further developments of the model concerning simulation of fre in forest stands were discussed as well.
Databáze: Directory of Open Access Journals