Autor: |
Matteo Gadaleta, Jennifer M. Radin, Katie Baca-Motes, Edward Ramos, Vik Kheterpal, Eric J. Topol, Steven R. Steinhubl, Giorgio Quer |
Jazyk: |
angličtina |
Rok vydání: |
2021 |
Předmět: |
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Zdroj: |
npj Digital Medicine, Vol 4, Iss 1, Pp 1-10 (2021) |
Druh dokumentu: |
article |
ISSN: |
2398-6352 |
DOI: |
10.1038/s41746-021-00533-1 |
Popis: |
Abstract Individual smartwatch or fitness band sensor data in the setting of COVID-19 has shown promise to identify symptomatic and pre-symptomatic infection or the need for hospitalization, correlations between peripheral temperature and self-reported fever, and an association between changes in heart-rate-variability and infection. In our study, a total of 38,911 individuals (61% female, 15% over 65) have been enrolled between March 25, 2020 and April 3, 2021, with 1118 reported testing positive and 7032 negative for COVID-19 by nasopharyngeal PCR swab test. We propose an explainable gradient boosting prediction model based on decision trees for the detection of COVID-19 infection that can adapt to the absence of self-reported symptoms and to the available sensor data, and that can explain the importance of each feature and the post-test-behavior for the individuals. We tested it in a cohort of symptomatic individuals who exhibited an AUC of 0.83 [0.81–0.85], or AUC = 0.78 [0.75–0.80] when considering only data before the test date, outperforming state-of-the-art algorithm in these conditions. The analysis of all individuals (including asymptomatic and pre-symptomatic) when self-reported symptoms were excluded provided an AUC of 0.78 [0.76–0.79], or AUC of 0.70 [0.69–0.72] when considering only data before the test date. Extending the use of predictive algorithms for detection of COVID-19 infection based only on passively monitored data from any device, we showed that it is possible to scale up this platform and apply the algorithm in other settings where self-reported symptoms can not be collected. |
Databáze: |
Directory of Open Access Journals |
Externí odkaz: |
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