| Autor: |
Jose Ernesto López-Velázquez, Nicolás Velázquez-Limón, Saúl Islas-Pereda, David Enrique Flores-Jiménez, Néstor Santillan-Soto, Juan Ríos-Arriola |
| Jazyk: |
angličtina |
| Rok vydání: |
2024 |
| Předmět: |
|
| Zdroj: |
Atmosphere, Vol 15, Iss 11, p 1300 (2024) |
| Druh dokumentu: |
article |
| ISSN: |
2073-4433 |
| DOI: |
10.3390/atmos15111300 |
| Popis: |
Northwestern Mexico has a desert climate with high solar resources. Clear skies and low humidity during most of the year favor their use. In winter, the arrival of cold air masses from the polar latitudes cause instability and abrupt changes in atmospheric variables, increasing the error of short-term forecasts. This work focuses on the evaluation of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model for predicting the global horizontal irradiance (GHI), considering different parameterizations of shortwave and longwave solar radiation during the influence of five cold fronts that affected the desert region of northwestern Mexico. The simulation was carried out under four main shortwave configurations and the results were evaluated with surface measurements and compared with climate information from NASA-POWER. The GHI predicted with the Dudhia parameterization showed an overestimation of the WRF model during most of the analyzed events; the most accurate predictions obtained correlation values between 0.85 and 0.91 and a mean absolute error between 15 and 45 W m−2. In periods where intermittent clouds prevailed, the mean error increased by almost 20%. An evaluation of the different proposed configurations shows advantages with the shortwave Dudhia and longwave RRTM parameterizations, providing a useful meteorological tool for predicting short-range variations in the GHI to improve the operability of solar power generation systems. |
| Databáze: |
Directory of Open Access Journals |
| Externí odkaz: |
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