Predictors of loss to follow-up of tuberculosis cases under the DOTS programme in Namibia

Autor: Dan Kibuule, Philomein Aiases, Nunurai Ruswa, Timothy William Rennie, Roger K. Verbeeck, Brian Godman, Mwangana Mubita
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2020
Předmět:
Zdroj: ERJ Open Research, Vol 6, Iss 1 (2020)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 2312-0541
23120541
DOI: 10.1183/23120541.00030-2019
Popis: Background In Namibia, one out of every 25 cases of tuberculosis (TB) is “lost to follow-up” (LTFU). This has impacted negatively on national efforts to end the disease by 2035. The aim of this study was to determine the trends and predictors of LTFU under the directly observed treatment short-course (DOTS) programme in Namibia. Methods The study involved a retrospective longitudinal analysis of a nationwide cohort of TB cases registered under the DOTS programme in Namibia from 2006 to 2015. The trends and predictors of LTFU among cases in the National Electronic TB Register of the National TB and Leprosy Program were respectively determined by interrupted time series and multivariate logistic regression analyses using R-Studio software. Results Out of 104 203 TB cases, 3775 (3.6%) were LTFU. A quarter (26%) of cases with poor outcomes were due to LTFU. The annual decline in cases of LTFU was significant between the first (2005–2010) and second (2010–2015) medium-term plan period for TB programme implementation (p=0.002). The independent predictors of LTFU were male sex (p=0.004), 15–24 years age group (p=0.03), provider of treatment (p
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