A Fractional-Order Compartmental Model of Vaccination for COVID-19 with the Fear Factor

Autor: Amar Nath Chatterjee, Fahad Al Basir, Bashir Ahmad, Ahmed Alsaedi
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2022
Předmět:
Zdroj: Mathematics, Vol 10, Iss 9, p 1451 (2022)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 2227-7390
DOI: 10.3390/math10091451
Popis: During the past several years, the deadly COVID-19 pandemic has dramatically affected the world; the death toll exceeds 4.8 million across the world according to current statistics. Mathematical modeling is one of the critical tools being used to fight against this deadly infectious disease. It has been observed that the transmission of COVID-19 follows a fading memory process. We have used the fractional order differential operator to identify this kind of disease transmission, considering both fear effects and vaccination in our proposed mathematical model. Our COVID-19 disease model was analyzed by considering the Caputo fractional operator. A brief description of this operator and a mathematical analysis of the proposed model involving this operator are presented. In addition, a numerical simulation of the proposed model is presented along with the resulting analytical findings. We show that fear effects play a pivotal role in reducing infections in the population as well as in encouraging the vaccination campaign. Furthermore, decreasing the fractional-order parameter α value minimizes the number of infected individuals. The analysis presented here reveals that the system switches its stability for the critical value of the basic reproduction number R0=1.
Databáze: Directory of Open Access Journals
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