Prediction of survival after neoadjuvant therapy in locally advanced rectal cancer – a retrospective analysis

Autor: Gudrun Piringer, Florian Ponholzer, Josef Thaler, Thomas Bachleitner-Hofmann, Holger Rumpold, Alexander de Vries, Lukas Weiss, Richard Greil, Michael Gnant, Dietmar Öfner
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2024
Předmět:
Zdroj: Frontiers in Oncology, Vol 14 (2024)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 2234-943X
DOI: 10.3389/fonc.2024.1374592
Popis: PurposeThe aim of this retrospective analysis was to determine if the response to preoperative radio(chemo)therapy is predictive for survival among patients with locally advanced rectal cancer and may act as a potential surrogate endpoint for disease free survival and overall survival.ResultsEight hundred seventy-eight patients from five centers were analyzed. There were 304 women and 574 men; the median age was 64.7 years. 77.6% and 22.4% of patients received neoadjuvant radiochemotherapy or short-course radiotherapy, resulting in a pathological complete response in 7.3%. T-downstaging and N-downstaging occurred in 50.5% and 37% of patients after neoadjuvant therapy. In patients with T-downstaging, the 10-year DFS and 10-year OS were 64.8% and 66.8% compared to 37.1% and 45.9% in patients without T-downstaging. N-downstaging resulted in 10-year DFS and 10-year OS in 56.2% and 62.5% compared to 47.3% and 52.3% without N-downstaging. Based on routinely evaluated clinical parameters, an absolute risk prediction calculator was generated for 5-year disease-free survival, and 5-year overall survival.ConclusionT-downstaging and N-downstaging after neoadjuvant radiochemotherapy or short-course radiotherapy resulted in better DFS and OS compared to patients without response. Based on clinical parameters, 5-year DFS, and 5-year OS can be predicted using a prediction calculator.
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