Dynamic prediction of left ventricular assist device pump thrombosis based on lactate dehydrogenase trends

Autor: Thomas E. Hurst, Andrew Xanthopoulos, John Ehrlinger, Jeevanantham Rajeswaran, Amol Pande, Lucy Thuita, Nicholas G. Smedira, Nader Moazami, Eugene H. Blackstone, Randall C. Starling
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2019
Předmět:
Zdroj: ESC Heart Failure, Vol 6, Iss 5, Pp 1005-1014 (2019)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 2055-5822
DOI: 10.1002/ehf2.12473
Popis: Abstract Aims The risk of HeartMate II (HMII) left ventricular assist device (LVAD) thrombosis has been reported, and serum lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), a biomarker of haemolysis, increases secondary to LVAD thrombosis. This study evaluated longitudinal measurements of LDH post‐LVAD implantation, hypothesizing that LDH trends could timely predict future LVAD thrombosis. Methods and results From October 2004 to October 2014, 350 HMIIs were implanted in 323 patients at Cleveland Clinic. Of these, patients on 339 HMIIs had at least one post‐implant LDH value (7996 total measurements). A two‐step joint model combining longitudinal biomarker data and pump thrombosis events was generated to assess the effect of changing LDH on thrombosis risk. Device‐specific LDH trends were first smoothed using multivariate boosted trees, and then used as a time‐varying covariate function in a multiphase hazard model to analyse time to thrombosis. Pre‐implant variables associated with time‐varying LDH values post‐implant using boostmtree were also investigated. Standardized variable importance for each variable was estimated as the difference between model‐based prediction error of LDH when the variable was randomly permuted and prediction error without permuting the values. The larger this difference, the more important a variable is for predicting the trajectory of post‐implant LDH. Thirty‐five HMIIs (10%) had either confirmed (18) or suspected (17) thrombosis, with 15 (43%) occurring within 3 months of implant. LDH was associated with thrombosis occurring both early and late after implant (P
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