Power Forecasting for Photovoltaic Microgrid Based on MultiScale CNN-LSTM Network Models

Autor: Honglin Xue, Junwei Ma, Jianliang Zhang, Penghui Jin, Jian Wu, Feng Du
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2024
Předmět:
Zdroj: Energies, Vol 17, Iss 16, p 3877 (2024)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 1996-1073
DOI: 10.3390/en17163877
Popis: Photovoltaic (PV) microgrids comprise a multitude of small PV power stations distributed across a specific geographical area in a decentralized manner. Computational services for forecasting the output power of power stations are crucial for optimizing resource deployment. This paper proposes a deep-learning-based architecture for short-term prediction of PV power. Firstly, in order to make full use of the spatial information between different power stations, a spatio–temporal feature fusion method is proposed. This method is capable of exploiting both the power information of neighboring power stations with strong correlations and meteorological information with the PV feature data of the target power station. By using a multiscale convolutional neural network–long short-term memory (CNN-LSTM) network model, it is capable of generating a PV feature dataset containing spatio–temporal attributes that expand the data source and enhance the feature constraints. It is capable of predicting the output power sequences of power stations in PV microgrids with high model generalization and responsiveness. To validate the effectiveness of the proposed framework, an extensive numerical analysis is also conducted based on a real-world PV dataset.
Databáze: Directory of Open Access Journals
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