The heterogeneous effects of COVID-19 lockdowns on crime across the world

Autor: N. Trajtenberg, S. Fossati, C. Diaz, A. E. Nivette, R. Aguilar, A. Ahven, L. Andrade, S. Amram, B. Ariel, M. J. Arosemena Burbano, R. Astolfi, D. Baier, H.-M. Bark, J. E. H. Beijers, M. Bergman, D. Borges, G. Breetzke, I. Cano, I. A. Concha Eastman, S. Curtis-Ham, R. Davenport, C. Droppelman, D. Fleitas, M. Gerell, K.-H. Jang, J. Kääriäinen, T. Lappi-Seppälä, W.-S. Lim, R. Loureiro Revilla, L. Mazerolle, C. Mendoza, G. Meško, N. Pereda, M. F. Peres, R. Poblete-Cazenave, E. Rojido, S. Rose, O. Sanchez de Ribera, R. Svensson, T. van der Lippe, J. A. M. Veldkamp, C. J. Vilalta Perdomo, R. Zahnow, M. P. Eisner
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2024
Předmět:
Zdroj: Crime Science, Vol 13, Iss 1, Pp 1-12 (2024)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 2193-7680
DOI: 10.1186/s40163-024-00220-y
Popis: Abstract There is a vast literature evaluating the empirical association between stay-at-home policies and crime during the COVID-19 pandemic. However, these academic efforts have primarily focused on the effects within specific cities or regions rather than adopting a cross-national comparative approach. Moreover, this body of literature not only generally lacks causal estimates but also has overlooked possible heterogeneities across different levels of stringency in mobility restrictions. This paper exploits the spatial and temporal variation of government responses to the pandemic in 45 cities across five continents to identify the causal impact of strict lockdown policies on the number of offenses reported to local police. We find that cities that implemented strict lockdowns experienced larger declines in some crime types (robbery, burglary, vehicle theft) but not others (assault, theft, homicide). This decline in crime rates attributed to more stringent policy responses represents only a small proportion of the effects documented in the literature.
Databáze: Directory of Open Access Journals