Forecasting the spread of raccoon rabies using a purpose-specific group decisionmaking process

Autor: Aaron M. Anderson, Stephanie A. Shwiff, Richard B. Chipman, Todd Atwood, Tyler Cozzens, Frank Fillo, Robert Hale, Brody Hatch, Joanne Maki, Olin E. Rhodes, Erin E. Rees, Charles E. Rupprecht, Rowland Tinline, Kurt C. VerCauteren, Dennis Slate
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2017
Předmět:
Zdroj: Human-Wildlife Interactions, Vol 8, Iss 1 (2017)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 2155-3874
DOI: 10.26077/an27-z240
Popis: The Centers for Disease Control (CDC) and USDA Wildlife Services (WS) have been involved in an oral rabies vaccination (ORV) program for raccoons (Procyon lotor) that has slowed the westward spread of raccoon rabies. The objective of this study was to forecast the spread of the disease if an ORV zone was not maintained. A group decision-making process was designed to address the forecasting problem and was implemented using a group of 15 experts and 4 support personnel at a meeting at the USDA National Wildlife Research Center. Ten expansion regions were constructed that described the spread of disease at 2-year intervals. This forecast may provide for more accurate cost-benefit analysis of the ORV barrier.
Databáze: Directory of Open Access Journals