Long- and Medium-Term Financial Strategies on Equities Using Dynamic Bayesian Networks

Autor: Karl Lewis, Mark Anthony Caruana, David Paul Suda
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2024
Předmět:
Zdroj: AppliedMath, Vol 4, Iss 3, Pp 843-855 (2024)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 2673-9909
DOI: 10.3390/appliedmath4030045
Popis: Devising a financial trading strategy that allows for long-term gains is a very common problem in finance. This paper aims to formulate a mathematically rigorous framework for the problem and compare and contrast the results obtained. The main approach considered is based on Dynamic Bayesian Networks (DBNs). Within the DBN setting, a long-term as well as a short-term trading strategy are considered and applied on twelve equities obtained from developed and developing markets. It is concluded that both the long-term and the medium-term strategies proposed in this paper outperform the benchmark buy-and-hold (B&H) trading strategy. Despite the clear advantages of the former trading strategies, the limitations of this model are discussed along with possible improvements.
Databáze: Directory of Open Access Journals