Development and validation of a model to categorize cardiovascular cause of death using health administrative data

Autor: Sagar Patel, Wade Thompson, Atul Sivaswamy, Anam Khan, Laura Ferreira-Legere, Douglas S. Lee, Husam Abdel-Qadir, Cynthia Jackevicius, Shaun Goodman, Michael E. Farkouh, Karen Tu, Moira K. Kapral, Harindra C. Wijeysundera, Derrick Tam, Peter C. Austin, Jiming Fang, Dennis T. Ko, Jacob A. Udell
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2022
Předmět:
Zdroj: American Heart Journal Plus, Vol 22, Iss , Pp 100207- (2022)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 2666-6022
DOI: 10.1016/j.ahjo.2022.100207
Popis: Study objective: Develop and evaluate a model that uses health administrative data to categorize cardiovascular (CV) cause of death (COD). Design: Population-based cohort. Setting: Ontario, Canada. Participants: Decedents ≥ 40 years with known COD between 2008 and 2015 in the CANHEART cohort, split into derivation (2008 to 2012; n = 363,778) and validation (2013 to 2015; n = 239,672) cohorts. Main outcome measures: Model performance. COD was categorized as CV or non-CV with ICD-10 codes as the gold standard. We developed a logistic regression model that uses routinely collected healthcare administrative to categorize CV versus non-CV COD. We assessed model discrimination and calibration in the validation cohort. Results: The strongest predictors for CV COD were history of stroke, history of myocardial infarction, history of heart failure, and CV hospitalization one month before death. In the validation cohort, the c-statistic was 0.80, the sensitivity 0.75 (95 % CI 0.74 to 0.75) and the specificity 0.71 (95 % CI 0.70 to 0.71). In the primary prevention validation sub-cohort, the c-statistic was 0.81, the sensitivity 0.71 (95 % CI 0.70 to 0.71) and the specificity 0.75 (95 % CI 0.75 to 0.75) while in the secondary prevention sub-cohort the c-statistic was 0.74, the sensitivity 0.81 (95 % CI 0.81 to 0.82) and the specificity 0.54 (95 % CI 0.53 to 0.54), Conclusion: Modelling approaches using health administrative data show potential in categorizing CV COD, though further work is necessary before this approach is employed in clinical studies.
Databáze: Directory of Open Access Journals