Autor: |
Chengjie Yan, Yu Zheng, Xintong Zhang, Chen Gong, Shibin Wen, Yonggang Zhu, Yujuan Jiang, Xipeng Li, Gaoyong Fu, Huaping Pan, Meiling Teng, Lingfeng Xia, Jian Li, Kun Qian, Xiao Lu |
Jazyk: |
angličtina |
Rok vydání: |
2023 |
Předmět: |
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Zdroj: |
Frontiers in Aging Neuroscience, Vol 15 (2023) |
Druh dokumentu: |
article |
ISSN: |
1663-4365 |
DOI: |
10.3389/fnagi.2023.1161016 |
Popis: |
IntroductionPrediction of post-stroke functional outcome is important for personalized rehabilitation treatment, we aimed to develop an effective nomogram for predicting long-term unfavorable functional outcomes in ischemic stroke patients after acute phase.MethodsWe retrospectively analyzed clinical data, rehabilitation data, and longitudinal follow-up data from ischemic stroke patients who underwent early rehabilitation at multiple centers in China. An unfavorable functional outcome was defined as a modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score of 3–6 at 90 days after onset. Patients were randomly allocated to either a training or test cohort in a ratio of 4:1. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to identify the predictors for the development of a predictive nomogram. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was used to evaluate predictive ability in both the training and test cohorts.ResultsA total of 856 patients (training cohort: n = 684; test cohort: n = 172) were included in this study. Among them, 518 patients experienced unfavorable outcomes 90 days after ischemic stroke. Trial of ORG 10172 in Acute Stroke Treatment classification (p = 0.024), antihypertensive agents use [odds ratio (OR) = 1.86; p = 0.041], 15-day Barthel Index score (OR = 0.930; p < 0.001) and 15-day mRS score (OR = 13.494; p < 0.001) were selected as predictors for the unfavorable outcome nomogram. The nomogram model showed good predictive performance in both the training (AUC = 0.950) and test cohorts (AUC = 0.942).ConclusionThe constructed nomogram model could be a practical tool for predicting unfavorable functional outcomes in ischemic stroke patients underwent early rehabilitation after acute phase. |
Databáze: |
Directory of Open Access Journals |
Externí odkaz: |
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