A black swan and canard cascades in an SIR infectious disease model

Autor: Andrei Korobeinikov, Elena Shchepakina, Vladimir Sobolev
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2020
Předmět:
Zdroj: Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering, Vol 17, Iss 1, Pp 725-736 (2020)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 1551-0018
DOI: 10.3934/mbe.2020037?viewType=HTML
Popis: Models of the spread of infectious diseases commonly have to deal with the problem of multiple timescales which naturally occur in the epidemic models. In the most cases, this problem is implicitly avoided with the use of the so-called "constant population size" assumption. However, applicability of this assumption can require a justification (which is typically omitted). In this paper we consider some multiscale phenomena that arise in a reasonably simple SusceptibleInfected-Removed (SIR) model with variable population size. In particular, we discuss examples of the canard cascades and a black swan that arise in this model.
Databáze: Directory of Open Access Journals