Dynamic flood risk prediction in Houston: a multi-model machine learning approach

Autor: Shuchi Mishra, Aproorv Bajpai, Agradeep Mohanta, Biplab Banerjee, Shrishti Rajput, Sudipta Kundu
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2024
Předmět:
Zdroj: Geocarto International, Vol 39, Iss 1 (2024)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 10106049
1752-0762
1010-6049
DOI: 10.1080/10106049.2024.2432866
Popis: In assessing flood susceptibility in Houston, key geographical parameters such as drainage density, slope, distance from rivers and roads, LULC, and rainfall data were analyzed using machine learning models, including Decision Trees, Random Forest, Gradient Boosting, SVM, and ANN. Performance evaluation using ROC curves and AUC revealed ANN as the most effective model, achieving an AUC of 85.00%, outperforming Decision Trees (78.96%), Random Forest (80.29%), Gradient Boosting (82.16%), and SVM (81.84%). Statistical validation with the Kruskal-Wallis test confirmed significant differences among models (H = 11.35, p = 0.023), with ANN excelling in pairwise comparisons. This study highlights ANN's robustness in flood prediction, providing a crucial tool for urban planning and fostering resilient, sustainable development.
Databáze: Directory of Open Access Journals