Prevalence and spatial distribution characteristics of human echinococcosis: A county-level modeling study in southern Xinjiang, China

Autor: Yue Zhang, Jun Wu, Simayi Adili, Shuo Wang, Haiting Zhang, Guangzhong Shi, Jiangshan Zhao
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2024
Předmět:
Zdroj: Heliyon, Vol 10, Iss 7, Pp e28812- (2024)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 2405-8440
DOI: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e28812
Popis: Objectives: Human echinococcosis remains an important public health problem. The aim of this study was to analyze the prevalence and spatial distribution characteristics of human echinococcosis cases in southern Xinjiang, China from 2005 to 2021. Methods: Human echinococcosis cases were collected from the National Infectious Disease Reporting System. Joinpoint regression analysis was performed to explore the trends. Spatial autocorrelation, hot spot analysis, as well as spatial-temporal clustering analysis were conducted to confirm the distribution and risk factors. Results: A total of 4580 cases were reported in southern Xinjiang during 2005–2021, with a mean annual incidence of 2.56/100,000. Echinococcosis incidence showed an increasing trend from 2005 to 2017 (APC = 17.939, 95%CI: 13.985 to 22.029) and a decreasing trend from 2017 to 2021 (APC = −18.769, 95%CI: 28.157 to −8.154). Echinococcosis cases had a positive spatial autocorrelation in 2005–2021 (Moran's I = 0.19, P
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