Estimating the water quality index based on interpretable machine learning models

Autor: Shiwei Yang, Ruifeng Liang, Junguang Chen, Yuanming Wang, Kefeng Li
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2024
Předmět:
Zdroj: Water Science and Technology, Vol 89, Iss 5, Pp 1340-1356 (2024)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 0273-1223
1996-9732
DOI: 10.2166/wst.2024.068
Popis: The water quality index (WQI) is an important tool for evaluating the water quality status of lakes. In this study, we used the WQI to evaluate the spatial water quality characteristics of Dianchi Lake. However, the WQI calculation is time-consuming, and machine learning models exhibit significant advantages in terms of timeliness and nonlinear data fitting. We used a machine learning model with optimized parameters to predict the WQI, and the light gradient boosting machine achieved good predictive performance. The machine learning model trained based on the entire Dianchi Lake water quality data achieved coefficient of determination (R2), mean square error, and mean absolute error values of 0.989, 0.228, and 0.298, respectively. In addition, we used the Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) method to interpret and analyse the machine learning model and identified the main water quality parameter that affects the WQI of Dianchi Lake as NH4+-N. Within the entire range of Dianchi Lake, the SHAP values of NH4+-N varied from −9 to 3. Thus, in future water environmental governance, it is necessary to focus on NH4+-N changes. These results can provide a reference for the treatment of lake water environments. HIGHLIGHTS The water quality of Dianchi Lake at the entry point is better than that at the exit point.; An interpretable machine learning model for predicting water quality index has been proposed.; NH4+-N is the main parameter affecting the water quality of Dianchi Lake.;
Databáze: Directory of Open Access Journals