Should we remain hopeful? The key 8 weeks: spatiotemporal epidemic characteristics of COVID-19 in Sichuan Province and its comparative analysis with other provinces in China and global epidemic trends

Autor: Xinyin Xu, Jing Zeng, Runyou Liu, Yang Liu, Xiaobo Zhou, Lijun Zhou, Ting Dong, Yuxin Cha, Zhuo Wang, Ying Deng, Yu Zhang, Liao Feng, Chen Pu, Xianping Wu, Bo Zhong
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2020
Předmět:
Zdroj: BMC Infectious Diseases, Vol 20, Iss 1, Pp 1-15 (2020)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 1471-2334
DOI: 10.1186/s12879-020-05494-6
Popis: Abstract Background The COVID-19 spread worldwide quickly. Exploring the epidemiological characteristics could provide a basis for responding to imported cases abroad and to formulate prevention and control strategies in areas where COVID-19 is still spreading rapidly. Methods The number of confirmed cases, daily growth, incidence and length of time from the first reported case to the end of the local cases (i.e., non-overseas imported cases) were compared by spatial (geographical) and temporal classification and visualization of the development and changes of the epidemic situation by layers through maps. Results In the first wave, a total of 539 cases were reported in Sichuan, with an incidence rate of 0.6462/100,000. The closer to Hubei the population centres were, the more pronounced the epidemic was. The peak in Sichuan Province occurred in the second week. Eight weeks after the Wuhan lockdown, the health crisis had eased. The longest epidemic length at the city level in China (except Wuhan, Taiwan, and Hong Kong) was 53 days, with a median of 23 days. Spatial autocorrelation analysis of China showed positive spatial correlation (Moran’s Index > 0, p
Databáze: Directory of Open Access Journals
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