Grey Model Analysis of Vehicle Population, Road Transport Energy Consumption and Vehicular Emissions

Autor:	Nuhu Caleb Amulah, Ekwe Bassey Ekwe, Muhammad Idriss Ishaq, Fasiu Ajani Oluwole
Jazyk:	angličtina
Rok vydání:	2023
Předmět:	road transport energy consumption air pollutant emissions vehicle survival rate Transportation and communications HE1-9990 Science Transportation engineering TA1001-1280
Zdroj:	Communications, Vol 25, Iss 1, Pp A1-A13 (2023)
Druh dokumentu:	article
ISSN:	1335-4205 2585-7878
DOI:	10.26552/com.C.2023.006
Popis:	This study employs the grey models to explore Nigeria's road transport energy consumption, vehicle population and vehicular emissions. The vehicular emissions were evaluated using the European Environment Agency Tier 1 Approach, based on the fuel consumption. A baseline scenario, based on historical data and three other alternative scenarios were developed. The study considered fuel quality, vehicle technology and survival rates as the key drivers of scenario formulation. Results show that vehicle population increases by about 3.58 % annually from 12.9 million units in 2018 to 38.5 million in 2050. Analysis of the alternative pathways reveals that their adoption would significantly reduce road transport energy consumption and air pollutant emissions.
Databáze:	Directory of Open Access Journals
Externí odkaz:	https://doaj.org/article/7565fe4b58064108818e7b4c979c082b Zobrazit plný text záznamu View record in DOAJ Plný text ve formátu PDF