Links or disconnect: a first consideration of inflation expectations and inflation credibility, with specific reference to South Africa

Autor: Jannie Rossouw, Vishnu Padayachee, Adel Bosch
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2011
Předmět:
Zdroj: South African Journal of Economic and Management Sciences, Vol 12, Iss 4, Pp 475-492 (2011)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 1015-8812
2222-3436
DOI: 10.4102/sajems.v12i4.190
Popis: This paper compares international and domestic inflation expectations and inflation credibility, and hypothesises about a possible link or disconnect between inflation expectations and inflation credibility among South Africans. No similar tests have previously been performed using South African data, and there is also a general lack of domestic and international literature on any such possible link or disconnect. While research shows that inflation expectations are taken into account by all countries targeting inflation, inflation credibility is very seldom considered. Although the hypothesis is confirmed in certain instances, it is refuted by a disconnect between the inflation expectations and inflation credibility of male and female respondents in South Africa, which cannot be explained by available data.
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