Return distribution and value at risk estimation for BELEX15

Autor: Đorić Dragan, Nikolić-Đorić Emilija
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2011
Předmět:
Zdroj: Yugoslav Journal of Operations Research, Vol 21, Iss 1, Pp 103-118 (2011)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 0354-0243
1820-743X
DOI: 10.2298/YJOR1101103D
Popis: The aim of this paper is to find distributions that adequately describe returns of the Belgrade Stock Exchange index BELEX15. The sample period covers 1067 trading days from 4 October 2005 to 25 December 2009. The obtained models were considered in estimating Value at Risk ( VaR ) at various confidence levels. Evaluation of VaR model accuracy was based on Kupiec likelihood ratio test.
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