The Effectiveness of Community-based Social Distancing for Mitigating the Spread of the COVID-19 Pandemic in Turkey

Autor: Hasan Durmuş, Mehmet Enes Gökler, Selma Metintaş
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2020
Předmět:
Zdroj: Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health, Vol 53, Iss 6, Pp 397-404 (2020)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 1975-8375
2233-4521
DOI: 10.3961/jpmph.20.381
Popis: Objectives The objective of this study was to demonstrate the effects of community-based social distancing interventions after the first coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) case in Turkey on the course of the pandemic and to determine the number of prevented cases. Methods In this ecological study, the interventions implemented in response to the first COVID-19 cases in Turkey were evaluated and the effect of the interventions was demonstrated by calculating the effective reproduction number (Rt) of severe acute respiratory syndrome coro navirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) when people complied with community-based social distancing rules. Results Google mobility scores decreased by an average of 36.33±22.41 points (range, 2.60 to 84.80) and a median of 43.80 points (interquartile range [IQR], 24.90 to 50.25). The interventions caused the calculated Rt to decrease to 1.88 (95% confidence interval, 1.87 to 1.89). The median growth rate was 19.90% (IQR, 10.90 to 53.90). A positive correlation was found between Google mobility data and Rt (r=0.783; p
Databáze: Directory of Open Access Journals