Mortality forecast from gastroduodenal ulcer disease for different gender and age population groups in Ukraine.

Autor: I. D. Duzhiy, S. O. Muntyan, V. Yu. Dubnitskiy, S. V. Kharchenko, V. A. Smianov
Jazyk: English<br />Ukrainian
Rok vydání: 2016
Předmět:
Zdroj: Medičnì Perspektivi, Vol 21, Iss 1, Pp 134-139 (2016)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 2307-0404
DOI: 10.26641/2307-0404.2016.1.64260
Popis: Until 2030 theulcermortalitywillhaveagrowingtrendasestimatedbytheWorldHealthOrganization. Detectionofcountriesandpopulationgroupswithhighrisksfortheulcermortalityispossibleusingforecast method. The authors madeaforecastofmortalityratefromcomplicatedulcerdiseaseinmalesandfemalesandtheiragegroups (15-24, 25-34, 35-54, 55-74, over 75, 15 - over 75) in our country. ThestudyincludeddataoftheWorldHealthOrganizationDatabase from 1991 to 2012. The work analyzed absolute all-Ukrainian numbers of persons of both genders died from the ulcer causes (К25-К27 coded by the 10th International Diseases Classification). The relative mortality per 100 000 of alive persons of the same age was calculated denovo. Theanalysisofdistributionlawsandtheirestimationpresentsatrendofgrowthoftherelativemortality. Aremarkableincreaseofdeathsfromtheulcerdiseaseisobservedinmalesandfemalesoftheageafter 55 years old. After the age of 75 years this trend is more expressed.
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