Simulation of Carbon Emission Reduction in Power Construction Projects Using System Dynamics: A Chinese Empirical Study

Autor: Lihong Li, Jing Shi, Hao Liu, Ruyu Zhang, Chunbing Guo
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2023
Předmět:
Zdroj: Buildings, Vol 13, Iss 12, p 3117 (2023)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 2075-5309
DOI: 10.3390/buildings13123117
Popis: Power construction projects (PCPs) consume a large amount of energy and contribute significantly to carbon emissions. There is relatively little research on carbon emission reduction in PCPs, especially in predicting carbon emission reduction from a dynamic perspective. After identifying the influencing factors that promote the carbon emission reduction effect of PCPs, this study adopted a dynamic analysis method to elucidate the relationship between the variables. A quantitative carbon emission reduction system for PCPs with 51 variables was established using the system dynamics model, and the system simulation was performed using Vensim PLE software. Finally, a sensitivity analysis was conducted on four key factors: R&D investment, the prefabricated construction level, the scale of using energy-saving material, and the energy efficiency of transmission equipment. The results show that: (1) The reduction in carbon emissions from PCPs continues to increase. (2) R&D investment is the most significant factor for improving the carbon emission reduction in PCPs. (3) The value of the above four influencing factors should be increased within a reasonable range so that the four factors can work better to promote the carbon emission reduction effect of PCPs. This paper creatively proposes a dynamic prediction model for carbon emission reduction in the PCP, and the research results provide the scientific basis for government supervision and enterprise decision-making.
Databáze: Directory of Open Access Journals