| Autor: |
J. M. Calabuig, E. Jiménez-Fernández, E. A. Sánchez-Pérez, S. Manzanares |
| Jazyk: |
angličtina |
| Rok vydání: |
2021 |
| Předmět: |
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| Zdroj: |
Econometrics, Vol 9, Iss 4, p 38 (2021) |
| Druh dokumentu: |
article |
| ISSN: |
2225-1146 |
| DOI: |
10.3390/econometrics9040038 |
| Popis: |
One of the main challenges posed by the healthcare crisis generated by COVID-19 is to avoid hospital collapse. The occupation of hospital beds by patients diagnosed by COVID-19 implies the diversion or suspension of their use for other specialities. Therefore, it is useful to have information that allows efficient management of future hospital occupancy. This article presents a robust and simple model to show certain characteristics of the evolution of the dynamic process of bed occupancy by patients with COVID-19 in a hospital by means of an adaptation of Kaplan-Meier survival curves. To check this model, the evolution of the COVID-19 hospitalization process of two hospitals between 11 March and 15 June 2020 is analyzed. The information provided by the Kaplan-Meier curves allows forecasts of hospital occupancy in subsequent periods. The results shows an average deviation of 2.45 patients between predictions and actual occupancy in the period analyzed. |
| Databáze: |
Directory of Open Access Journals |
| Externí odkaz: |
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