Scenario-based assessment of emergency management of urban infectious disease outbreaks

Autor: Pengwei Yuan, Huifang Liu, Xiaoqing Dong
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2024
Předmět:
Zdroj: Frontiers in Public Health, Vol 12 (2024)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 2296-2565
DOI: 10.3389/fpubh.2024.1368154
Popis: Infectious diseases pose a severe threat to human health and are accompanied by significant economic losses. Studies of urban outbreaks of infectious diseases are diverse. However, previous studies have neglected the identification of critical events and the evaluation of scenario-based modeling of urban infectious disease outbreak emergency management mechanisms. In this paper, we aim to conduct an empirical analysis and scenario extrapolation using a questionnaire survey of 18 experts, based on the CIA-ISM method and scenario theory, to identify the key factors influencing urban infectious disease outbreaks. Subsequently, we evaluate the effectiveness of urban infectious disease outbreak emergency management mechanisms. Finally, we compare and verify the actual situation of COVID-19 in China, drawing the following conclusions and recommendations. (1) The scenario-based urban infectious disease emergency management model can effectively replicate the development of urban infectious diseases. (2) The establishment of an emergency command center and the isolation and observation of individuals exposed to infectious diseases are crucial factors in the emergency management of urban outbreaks of infectious disease.
Databáze: Directory of Open Access Journals