Canada’s Potential Productivity and Output Growth: A Post-Crisis Assessment

Autor: Marcello Estevão, Evridiki Tsounta
Jazyk: angličtina
Rok vydání: 2010
Předmět:
Zdroj: International Productivity Monitor, Iss 20, Pp 3-21 (2010)
Druh dokumentu: article
ISSN: 1492-9759
1492-9767
Popis: This study investigates the impact of the current financial crisis on Canada’s potential GDP growth. Using a simple accounting framework to decompose trend GDP growth into changes in capital, labour services, and total factor productivity, we find a sizeable drop in Canadian potential growth rate in the short term. The estimated decline of about 1 percentage point originates from a sharply decelerating capital stock accumulation (as investment has dropped steeply). However, over the medium term, we expect Canada’s potential GDP growth to gradually rise to around 2 per cent, below the pre-crisis growth rate, partly reflecting the effects of population aging.
Databáze: Directory of Open Access Journals