| Autor: |
Fedor Sergeevich Golubev |
| Jazyk: |
English<br />Russian |
| Rok vydání: |
2020 |
| Předmět: |
|
| Zdroj: |
Наука Красноярья, Vol 9, Iss 2, Pp 65-77 (2020) |
| Druh dokumentu: |
article |
| ISSN: |
2070-7568 |
| DOI: |
10.12731/2070-7568-2020-2-65-77 |
| Popis: |
The dynamics of forecasts of dynamics and socio-economic systems based on general equilibrium. The author considers various variations of these models, opportunities and critical points identified for their use. The article proposes to pay attention to a reasonable approach when developing forecasts in relation to the socio-economic environment in order to bring the predicted results closer to the real economy and to study the influence of deeper micro-level processes on macro-level indicators. Purpose – identify the limitations of various kinds of models based on “input-output” tables when forecasting the dynamics of socio-economic systems. Methodology: the work is based on the methods of comparative analysis of forecasting methodologies based on various variations of the general equilibrium models. Results: The obtained results represent the theoretical basis for using this type of analysis in relation to other forecasting methods. Practical implications: The results obtained in the article are applicable to the use of forecasts to identify changes in socio-economic systems. |
| Databáze: |
Directory of Open Access Journals |
| Externí odkaz: |
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